Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Dec 2025

Perth Glory (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide United (K)
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.98/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.81
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
14.3 Crosses 23.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.4

Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.46 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 291
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2025 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
06.12.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
10.11.2017 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1-0
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.15 xG 0.87
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
135 Passes 319
55% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory (K) squeezed past Adelaide United (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Perth Glory (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 36% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 64%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.15 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Adelaide United (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.25 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 32%, draw 29%, Adelaide United (K) 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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