APS Bomet vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
APS Bomet v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Tusker squeezed past APS Bomet 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of APS Bomet vs Tusker?
APS Bomet 0-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for APS Bomet vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split APS Bomet 21%, draw 31%, Tusker 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.