Bandari 1-0 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.21/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.08
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandari
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.12.2024 Bandari Bandari 2-2 HT 2-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
25.09.2021 Bandari Bandari 3-0 HT 2-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
POST-MATCH Bandari vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari edged past Mathare United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bandari as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bandari had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bandari and 1.00 for Mathare United.

What was the final score of Bandari vs Mathare United?

Bandari 1-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bandari 43%, draw 37%, Mathare United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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