Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Jan 2024

Santos Laguna
0-2 HT 0-1
Monterrey
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒05:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.19
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
10%
5.97
X/2
10%
5.04
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.3
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos Laguna v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.22/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.24
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.2 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
280 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.05.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
11.05.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
17.04.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
04.07.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-3 HT 2-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.04.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK

Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
1.34 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey got the better of Santos Laguna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Monterrey found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 45% of the ball to Monterrey's 55%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.34 to 0.90 — on chances, Santos Laguna could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.67 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 39%, draw 25%, Monterrey 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos Laguna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✓ Under 2.5
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