Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-3
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
1-4
HT 0-2
Tigres UANL
MEK
1-3
HT 0-2
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 52% of the ball to Guadalajara's 48%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.44 to 0.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara?
Tigres UANL 1-0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 49%, draw 26%, Guadalajara 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.