Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Tigres UANL's favour, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.44 to 0.87 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Tigres UANL against 1.00 for Guadalajara.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 55%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.