Barcelona (K) 3-0 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Super Cup, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
30%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.75
No
51%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
85%
-24.4pp
30%
Draw
9%
+20.8pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.2pp
51%
BTTS No
68%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.37 xG 0.35
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
592 Passes 242
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
50 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18.02.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
21.08.2020 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
3-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Atletico Madrid (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 68% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 32%, shots finished 25-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.00 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Barcelona (K) 3-0 Atletico Madrid (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 60%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid (K) 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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