GIANA Erminio 1-1 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 28%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.96/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+98% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Caldiero Terme 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-1
AWAY Caldiero Terme
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio and Caldiero Terme couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 56% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 44%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme?

GIANA Erminio 1-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 41%, draw 27%, Caldiero Terme 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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