Caldiero Terme 1-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.65/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.75
+35% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
1-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme nicked a narrow win over GIANA Erminio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Caldiero Terme found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 41% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 59%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio?

Caldiero Terme 1-0 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 35%, draw 30%, GIANA Erminio 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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