Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.49
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.93/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.04
-28% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
17.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
23.12.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-0
AWAY Pro Patria
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo nicked a narrow win over Pro Patria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 44% of the ball to Pro Patria's 56%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.75 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 47%, draw 27%, Pro Patria 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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