SPAL 1-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

SPAL
1-1 HT 0-0
Pianese
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.54/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.44
+19% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
1-1
AWAY Pianese
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL and Pianese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SPAL at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SPAL had 56% of the ball to Pianese's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Pianese?

SPAL 1-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SPAL 43%, draw 25%, Pianese 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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