Sestri Levante 0-1 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.98
+15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
0-1
AWAY Ternana
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana nicked a narrow win over Sestri Levante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 42% of the ball to Ternana's 58%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Ternana?

Sestri Levante 0-1 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 21%, draw 27%, Ternana 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
29 Oct 2024
20:30 Trento AC vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
20:30 Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
20:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria Analysis →
20:30 Atalanta II vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
20:30 SPAL vs Pianese Analysis →
22:45 Novara vs Vicenza Analysis →