Haka 3-1 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
9%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.3pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.99/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
+42% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -73%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
6W-0D-0L
AWAY KTP Kotka
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
252 Passes 450
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-3 Haka Haka HAZ
07.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
21.08.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
05.05.2023 Haka Haka 4-2 HT 1-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
25.05.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİK
27.10.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-3 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
3-1
AWAY KTP Kotka
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka got the better of KTP Kotka 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Haka had 49% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Haka and 1.50 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Haka vs KTP Kotka?

Haka 3-1 KTP Kotka in the Finland - League Cup on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haka 46%, draw 22%, KTP Kotka 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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