Al Safa 0-1 Al Jubail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.68
Over
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jubail The Market 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.82
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Jubail
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Al Jubail Al Jubail 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
0-1
AWAY Al Jubail
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Jubail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jubail edged past Al Safa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Jubail found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Safa had 62% of the ball to Al Jubail's 38%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Jubail?

Al Safa 0-1 Al Jubail in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Jubail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 36%, draw 31%, Al Jubail 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Safa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Safa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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