Mekelakeya 2-0 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
37%
2.61
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
37%
Draw
35%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.11/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.84
+16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 HT 0-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
03.12.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 4-3 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
06.04.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
2-0
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya beat Kedus Giorgis 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 37% / 32% — and on the day Mekelakeya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 48% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 52%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mekelakeya had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mekelakeya and 1.33 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Mekelakeya 2-0 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 31%, draw 37%, Kedus Giorgis 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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