CA Penarol 1-1 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.64
Over
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.57
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.22
6+
8%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.57 — our 37% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Colo Colo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2020 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-0 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo LKU
16.09.2020 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
1-1
AWAY Colo Colo
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol and Colo Colo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, CA Penarol had 44% of the ball to Colo Colo's 56%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Colo Colo?

CA Penarol 1-1 Colo Colo in the Friendlies on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 33%, draw 31%, Colo Colo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colo Colo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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