Zenit St. Petersburg 4-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jan 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg
4-1 HT 2-0
Shanghai Port
📅22/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Shanghai Port Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.43
Over
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
22%
5.1
2-3
47%
1.96
4-5
23%
2.61
6+
8%
6.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.1 — our 22% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.47
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
27%
4.39
X/2
6%
22.25
X/X
11%
7.02
2/1
13%
24.85
2/2
8%
19.15
2/X
4%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Zenit St. Petersburg win — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Shanghai Port — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port The Market 12%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+43% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Shanghai Port 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Shanghai Port?

Zenit St. Petersburg 4-1 Shanghai Port in the Friendlies on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 61%, draw 21%, Shanghai Port 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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