Tractor FC 4-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.43
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 38% vs market 35.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
66%
+7.3pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.5pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.6pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
2.10/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.94
+45% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
7 Corners 3
26.08.2025 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
21.01.2025 Tractor FC Tractor FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
16.08.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-2 HT 0-2 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
08.03.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
28.08.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
11.03.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC cruised past Mes Rafsanjan 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tractor FC as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tractor FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tractor FC and 0.50 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Tractor FC 4-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 73%, draw 17%, Mes Rafsanjan 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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