Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC - Qatar UAE Super Cup, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+10.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Sharjah
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.14 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
284 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-3 HT 0-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1-1
AWAY Al Sharjah
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa and Al Sharjah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 42%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 61% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 39%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Sharjah?

Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Sharjah in the AFC - Qatar UAE Super Cup on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 38%, draw 20%, Al Sharjah 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sharjah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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