Al Sharjah vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sharjah v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Sharjah 4-3 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Al Gharafa 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Al Sharjah had 52% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.47 to 2.14 — on chances, Al Gharafa could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Gharafa?
Al Sharjah 4-3 Al Gharafa in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 48%, draw 24%, Al Gharafa 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.