Al Wahda 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
7.35
X/2
13%
4.99
X/X
12%
5.65
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.0 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.67/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.44
+102% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
19.3 Crosses 32.0
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
289 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2019 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda AŞMP
11.03.2019 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
2-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.60 xG 0.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
360 Passes 331
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
44 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wahda had 53% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 47%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 2.60 to 0.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Wahda's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Wahda and 1.00 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Wahda 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 31%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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