Al Shorta 1-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 15 Sep 2025

Al Shorta
1-1 HT 1-0
Al Sadd
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2025/2026

Al Shorta vs Al Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
6.3
X/2
16%
5.13
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.2
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shorta v Al Sadd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
0.79/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.35
-48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.4 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Shorta 1-1 Al Sadd — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shorta
1-1
AWAY Al Sadd
0.32 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
405 Passes 260
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta and Al Sadd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shorta had 59% of the ball to Al Sadd's 41%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.32 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Al Sadd?

Al Shorta 1-1 Al Sadd in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 30%, draw 22%, Al Sadd 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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