Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wadi Degla v Ghazl El Mehalla — Team-Based Signals
Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Wadi Degla
MSR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Wadi Degla
MSR
0-1
HT 0-1
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
Wadi Degla 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla — Actual Match Statistics
Wadi Degla nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wadi Degla had 61% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.68 to 1.85 — on chances, Ghazl El Mehalla could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ghazl El Mehalla led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wadi Degla and 0.75 for Ghazl El Mehalla.
What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Wadi Degla 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 42%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.