Ismaily 1-2 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
7.03
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.10
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.0 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
09.03.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
31.05.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-2 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
13.01.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
17.06.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
23.11.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-2
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.22 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
210 Passes 125
68% Pass Accuracy 53%
14 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Ismaily 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Al Mokawloon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 57% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 43%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.22 to 1.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Mokawloon's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ismaily and 1.33 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon?

Ismaily 1-2 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 26%, draw 33%, Al Mokawloon 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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