Ismaily 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.13/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.19
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.8 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.64 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
31.05.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-2 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
13.01.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
17.06.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
23.11.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.05.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.58 xG 0.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
427 Passes 162
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ismaily had 67% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 33%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ismaily and 1.33 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon?

Ismaily 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 40%, draw 32%, Al Mokawloon 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ismaily), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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