Jamshedpur 2-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 22 Feb 2024

Jamshedpur
2-1 HT 0-1
East Bengal
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Jamshedpur vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamshedpur v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 32%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.65
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.9 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Jamshedpur vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY East Bengal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
227 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 2-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
25.09.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
13.01.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
27.11.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-3 HT 1-2 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
11.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
21.11.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL

Jamshedpur 2-1 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
2-1
AWAY East Bengal
0.69 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur edged past East Bengal 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day Jamshedpur made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 60% of the ball to East Bengal's 40%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 0.69 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured East Bengal.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.17 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs East Bengal?

Jamshedpur 2-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 40%, draw 30%, East Bengal 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamshedpur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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