Tlaxcala 1-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.90/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.12
-29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Venados
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.07.2023 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.04.2023 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
15.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.10.2022 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
29.01.2022 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.08.2021 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala edged past Venados 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Tlaxcala made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.33 for Venados.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Tlaxcala 1-0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 34%, draw 26%, Venados 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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