Lugano II 2-2 Breitenrain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.32/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.62
-21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Breitenrain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2024 Breitenrain 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
11.11.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 1-0 Breitenrain İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
2-2
AWAY Breitenrain
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Breitenrain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Breitenrain couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lugano II had 45% of the ball to Breitenrain's 55%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 1.00 for Breitenrain.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Breitenrain?

Lugano II 2-2 Breitenrain in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Breitenrain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breitenrain win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 33%, draw 28%, Breitenrain 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Breitenrain) ✗ Under 2.5
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