Brisbane City 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.06.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
15.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior got the better of Brisbane City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brisbane City and 2.00 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane City 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 28%, draw 20%, Moreton City Excelsior 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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