Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.59/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.38
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.7 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
297 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
01.06.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
13.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-1 HT 3-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
31.08.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
07.05.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
0-1
AWAY Khorfakkan
0.45 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
378 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 46
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan edged past Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad Kalba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 56% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 44%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.45 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.00 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan?

Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad Kalba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 41%, draw 25%, Khorfakkan 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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