Khorfakkan 0-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +21%
1.53/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.45
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.2 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
260 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
13.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-1 HT 3-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
31.08.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
07.05.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
25.12.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
0-2
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.28 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
338 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba got the better of Khorfakkan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad Kalba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 59% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.28 to 0.69 — on chances, Khorfakkan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Khorfakkan 0-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad Kalba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 35%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad Kalba 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
28 Sep 2024
19:00 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr Analysis →