Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.31/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.56
-9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
14.8 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.89 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
478 Passes 336
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
19.08.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.04.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
04.11.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
19.02.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.09.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi saw off Al Nasr 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Al Jazira Abu Dhabi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.67 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 38%, draw 30%, Al Nasr 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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