Lommel United 1-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.26/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.24
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
15.1 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
12.11.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.11.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
04.09.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
19.03.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
17.12.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.04 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
289 Passes 447
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren edged past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Waasland-Beveren made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 41% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 59%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 2.04 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lommel United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lommel United and 1.67 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren?

Lommel United 1-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 39%, draw 28%, Waasland-Beveren 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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