Esbjerg 0-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

Esbjerg
0-1 HT 0-1
Kolding IF
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs Kolding IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.23
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
10%
6.0
X/2
11%
5.2
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.4
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Kolding IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.33/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.04
+32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
17.2 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Esbjerg vs Kolding IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
187 Passes 412
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.08.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
17.06.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
16.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
23.10.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
03.09.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
02.08.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK

Esbjerg 0-1 Kolding IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-1
AWAY Kolding IF
1.78 xG 1.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
323 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF nicked a narrow win over Esbjerg 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Kolding IF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Esbjerg had 48% of the ball to Kolding IF's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.78 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Esbjerg and 1.17 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Esbjerg 0-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 33%, draw 29%, Kolding IF 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5
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