AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.16/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2W-0D-1L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
253 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.09.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
03.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 HT 0-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
02.02.2019 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche edged past SV Spakenburg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 1.67 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 44%, draw 25%, SV Spakenburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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