AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-3% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
253 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 20
02.02.2019 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-3
AWAY SV Spakenburg
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg saw off AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 54% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 46%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 36%, draw 22%, SV Spakenburg 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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