HHC Hardenberg 1-1 Lisse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisse EU Bookmakers 16%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
3.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.33
+92% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lisse
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
09.09.2023 Lisse Lisse 0-5 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
22.09.2015 Lisse Lisse 0-4 HT 0-1 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1-1
AWAY Lisse
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Lisse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg and Lisse shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had HHC Hardenberg at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 60% of the ball to Lisse's 40%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 0.00 for Lisse.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Lisse?

HHC Hardenberg 1-1 Lisse in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Lisse?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 65%, draw 19%, Lisse 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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