Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 49%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-0
AWAY Noordwijk
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis edged past Noordwijk 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Excelsior Maassluis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 44% of the ball to Noordwijk's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 38%, draw 24%, Noordwijk 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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