ACV 1-0 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 38%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.67
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
1-0
AWAY Jong Almere City
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ACV vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV edged past Jong Almere City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day ACV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ACV had 53% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of ACV vs Jong Almere City?

ACV 1-0 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ACV 38%, draw 28%, Jong Almere City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ACV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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