Harland & Wolff Welders 4-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
16%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.16
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-2 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
28.09.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
03.10.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
07.01.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRK
14.01.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
24.01.2020 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders swept aside Newry City AFC 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harland & Wolff Welders and 1.17 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC?

Harland & Wolff Welders 4-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Harland & Wolff Welders 58%, draw 23%, Newry City AFC 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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