La Equidad 0-1 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.02
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.5 Crosses 16.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 160
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
08.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 4-0 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
10.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
29.03.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.03.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 1-2 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.02.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.47 xG 0.29
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
353 Passes 157
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 67% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 33%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.47 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Boyaca Chico?

La Equidad 0-1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 48%, draw 32%, Boyaca Chico 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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