Boyaca Chico 1-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.2 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.03 xG 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
181 Passes 312
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 4-0 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
10.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
29.03.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.03.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 1-2 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.02.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
19.09.2020 La Equidad La Equidad 4-0 HT 2-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
1-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.06 xG 0.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
167 Passes 186
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
8 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Boyaca Chico made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 48% of the ball to La Equidad's 52%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.06 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boyaca Chico and 2.17 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs La Equidad?

Boyaca Chico 1-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 39%, draw 29%, La Equidad 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boyaca Chico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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