Alianza Lima 1-0 Juan Pablo II College — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.76/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.88
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +101%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.2 Crosses 8.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
1-0
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
1.96 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
341 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima squeezed past Juan Pablo II College 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 57% of the ball to Juan Pablo II College's 43%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.96 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?

Alianza Lima 1-0 Juan Pablo II College in the Peru - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 63%, draw 20%, Juan Pablo II College 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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