Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.90/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.59
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.3 Crosses 21.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
234 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
05.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 0-2 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1-1
AWAY Cultural San
2.34 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
283 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos and Cultural San couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 55% of the ball to Cultural San's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.34 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.00 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San?

Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 38%, draw 28%, Cultural San 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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