Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
3-2
AWAY Cultural San
0.78 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
297 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Comerciantes Unidos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 53% of the ball to Cultural San's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San?

Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 44%, draw 26%, Cultural San 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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