Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.75
No
62%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.9pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.11/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.19
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.5 Crosses 19.6
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.53 xG 1.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
214 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
29.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0-2
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.85 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
268 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Garcilaso at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 46% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 54%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.85 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.50 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 45%, draw 27%, Sport Huancayo 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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