Sport Boys 1-3 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 59%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.91/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.12
-22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
210 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.9 Crosses 20.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.15 xG 1.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 Passes 404
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.04.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
15.10.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-5 HT 2-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.06.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
30.10.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
18.08.2020 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-4 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-3
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.89 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
287 Passes 215
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal saw off Sport Boys 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Boys had 56% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sport Boys and 2.50 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal?

Sport Boys 1-3 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 24%, draw 30%, Sporting Cristal 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Under 2.5
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