Cultural San 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.16/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
23.4 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.61 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
237 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 0-2 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.11 xG 0.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
309 Passes 170
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San got the better of Comerciantes Unidos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural San had 62% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cultural San 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 60%, draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✗ Over 2.5
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