Melgar vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Cesar Vallejo — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Cesar Vallejo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Melgar
PER
2-2
HT 1-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
3-2
HT 2-2
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Cesar Vallejo
PER
Melgar 5-2 Cesar Vallejo — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar ran out comfortable winners over Cesar Vallejo 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melgar had 54% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 46%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.08 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melgar and 1.67 for Cesar Vallejo.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Cesar Vallejo?
Melgar 5-2 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cesar Vallejo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Melgar 57%, draw 23%, Cesar Vallejo 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.