Cesar Vallejo vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesar Vallejo v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Cesar Vallejo vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Melgar
PER
2-2
HT 1-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
3-2
HT 2-2
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Cesar Vallejo
PER
0-2
HT 0-1
Cesar Vallejo
PER
Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Cesar Vallejo edged past Melgar 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cesar Vallejo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 47% of the ball to Melgar's 53%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.73 to 1.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.33 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Melgar?
Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 41%, draw 28%, Melgar 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.