Union Comercio 2-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.76
No
61%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.6pp
61%
BTTS No
47%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +28%
2.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.35
+35% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.9 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 2.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 204
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
01.05.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
15.09.2019 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
30.03.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-2 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
2-2
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.33 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio and Carlos Manucci Trujillo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Comercio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Comercio had 51% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 49%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.33 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carlos Manucci Trujillo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Union Comercio and 1.50 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Union Comercio 2-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 42%, draw 29%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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